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Let's Go Round Again!

  • Let's Go Round Again!

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High pressure over Scandinavia is just about hanging on across the UK today meaning that for many parts it will be another fine and very warm day. However changes are on the way for the weekend as somewhat cooler conditions gradually filter down from the north, along with the risk of a few showers at times.

So Friday is starting off fine and sunny in many areas but patches of mist and low cloud may be a little slow to clear, especially across central and eastern areas, but they should become confined to the northeast coast again today to leave much of the country fine once more. Some cloud will bubble up across southern counties of England though, and a few heavy, possibly thundery, showers may break out by this afternoon, but these will be pretty well scattered with many places missing them and staying dry. Temperatures today will widely be in the mid-twenties, and as high as 28C (82F) in the south, but it will be cooler along the east coast with an onshore breeze, and sea breezes will develop around other coasts too.

A dry and mild night follows with some mist and low cloud forming again, but then for Saturday it will be another fine and warm day across much of England and Wales, but for Scotland and Northern Ireland it will be turning increasingly cloudy with a growing chance of some showery rain developing as we go through the day.

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Metcheck Forecast Team Article Comments (5)

The Spanish Plume Of Gloom (and Doom)

Wow! First day for a while with no weather watches or warnings out! Enjoy!

We thought we would take a little look at what is causing this excessively thundery Summer across the UK. There has been much talk of Spanish Plumes etc which is all fine and well, but as meteorologists we take a look back at what is causing this effect. The weather is pretty simple, put in place a series of events and you get a series of results.

One of the main contributing factors to the large number of storms and showers is the remarkably wet Winter of 2013/14 we had. This has left the soil with plenty of available moisture in which to evaporate during the summer months. If we take the summer of 2003 as an opposite example then after a dry Winter of 2002/3 the available moisture in the soil was so low that even when low pressure made the potential for storms to be available there was so little water available that showers and storms were few and far between.

At present we are in a positive feedback loop. As we get more storms, so the moisture in the soil is still there for more storms to develop and so the cycle continues.

The other (rather weak correlation) is between a developing or weak El Nino and a thundery Summer across Western Europe. This link is still being investigated and is still subject to some debate. But with the weather patterns very much locked in a sluggish regime over the next few weeks it looks as though the end of July and start of August are likely to see further outbreaks of storms.

One thing we have found out is that the Met Office EURO4 model is hopeless at dealing with Spanish Plumes and imported thunderstorms to the point of being useless to meteorologists. It missed each of the main plumes last week, whilst the American GFS picked it up nearly 10 days before.

Oh, and what type of Winter follows a thundery Summer? We will tell you the answer to this soon....

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Metcheck Forecast Team Article Comments (3)

Metcheck v7

Metcheck v6 looks like being the shortest lived version of the site we have ever had? This is due to the fact that we kinda got it wrong with regards to the navigation and flexibility of the existing structure.

But from August 1st a moratorium starts on Metcheck v6 as our programmers start work on the next version of the site. Over the weekend there was a buzz around Metcheck Towers as we started to look at the technology we are using for the next version of the site. Already we promise the following things :-

- It will be responsive (i.e work on all your devices)
- All existing pages will be carried over
- It will have a picture of a cow (on all your devices)
- It will have less adverts
- It won't make you coffee (on any of your devices)

We will shortly be opening a new area in the sandbox to get your wishlist for the next version of the site.

We are planning to launch Metcheck v7 on October 1st 2014. However, we will be running the new version alongside the existing one from September 1st to let you get used to it.

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