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20
Apr
11:26

Damian from Maendy

 Morning All, a bright sort of morning so...

20
Apr
11:10

Alan f from Parc Seymour

 Parc Seymour, ST 409 917, Lat 51.6215, L...

20
Apr
11:04

Pete from Wrexham

 Happy Easter Everyone on MC. Have a l...





 

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20
Apr
06:00


Metcheck Forecast Team Article Comments (0)

Rain Into The South


Some changes in store today as the fine weather of the last couple of days gets pushed further north and west thanks to an area of low pressure encroaching from the southeast. This means that for much of England and Wales a cloudier day is in store with outbreaks of rain pushing into southern counties.

This morning is starting off on a rather cloudy note across much of England and Wales with the best of the bright or sunny spells over northern and western areas. For Scotland and Northern Ireland it is brighter with some good sunny spells developing once any low cloud lifts. Here it will remain mostly fine for much of the day with temperatures picking up into the mid teens in the sunshine, although eastern Scotland will be cooler and cloudier. Meanwhile further south showery outbreaks of rain across southeast England will tend to become heavier and more persistent today, especially across Kent, Sussex, Hampshire and the Isle of Wight by this afternoon whilst for the Channel Island spells of rain are likely for much of the day before easing later. For the rest of England and Wales, including the Isle of Man it will be generally dry bar a few showers breaking out this afternoon across East Anglia, the Midlands and into Wales. The best of any brightness will be across north-western England and Wales. Temperatures will be similar to yesterday, but feeling cooler as a stiff north-easterly wind picks up, especially along eastern coasts.

The rain in the south will edge a little further north tonight into the Midlands and Wales but will tend to die out as it does so. It will otherwise be a cloudier and milder night for many with the wind helping to prevent any frost worries away from the glens of Scotland. A few scattered showers are likely in places outside of the rain zone, but otherwise many areas should stay mainly dry. Easter Monday will then see a mixture of some warm sunny spells and scattered heavy showers, the showers most likely in the south and the driest conditions towards the north.

Finally from all of us here at Metcheck, we wish you all a very Happy Easter.

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20
Apr
09:09


Metcheck Forecast Team Article Comments (0)

Quendolin Creates North/South Split


Low Quendolin will continue to affect Southern areas of the UK throughout Easter Sunday and into Eastern Monday. It's rather interesting how weather models have struggled with the intensity, trajectory and movement of Quendolin over the last 48 hours.

As you're probably aware the usual trajectory of weather systems over the UK is from the South-west to the North-east. Quendolin has pushed in from the East and is now heading West. Obviously Quendolin will continue to behave in a way which is totally influenced by the basic rules of physics. However, the reason many models have struggled with Quendolin is purely because the development, movement and intensity of the system has been a little strange for our shores.

At the moment the weather models are still in slight disagreement with the intensity of the main frontal band which heads North during today and into tomorrow. There is also some conflicting views with regards to the development of home grown storms during Easter Monday. Certainly the potential for some beefy showers across Southern, South-eastern and West England during Easter Monday afternoon. This risk then spreads into South Wales during Easter Monday evening.

So, in short be prepared for some intense downpours across Southern and Central England and Wales today and tomorrow. Quendolin won't give up her secrets just yet and the models will continue to struggle with her. So, if Metcheck says your region will stay dry tomorrow and you get caught in a shower don't blame Metcheck... blame Quendolin.

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20
Apr
08:55


Metcheck Forecast Team Article Comments (0)

Convective Week Coming Up


A change in the weather patterns this week as high pressure which has been the dominant force for many over the past couple of weeks slips away and allows a significant upper trough to to become established over the British Isles.

The process started over the last half of the Easter weekend with low Quendoline pushing in rather strangely from the South-east. During the first half of this week we are under the control of Iberian weather with some unstable and moist air dragged in from the continent. This will allow the potential for home grown storms across the UK during Tuesday.

For the second half of the week and it's return of the Atlantic as the upper trough and Iberian low allows the Atlantic to make inroads once again from the West. Some heavy showers expected ahead of incoming weather systems will mean the potential for some interesting convective activity this week.

Towards the end of the week and a deep area of low pressure once again swings in from the Atlantic bringing more rain and unsettled weather. The synoptic setup at the moment across Western Europe is rather interesting and will allow for a few complex situations over the next few days. Not everywhere will see heavy rain, not everywhere will see rain. But, the overall scenario shows the Atlantic making more of a presence over the coming week or so and some interesting situations developing as a result due to the strengthening sun at this time of year.

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